Lecture & Exercises for Thu November 21

For Thu Nov 21, work through Exam stk 2004 no. 1, and 2(f), where you are to put a prior on (theta1,theta2) uniform on the triangle where theta2 > theta1. Also work out methods and programmes for handling a binomial analysis where the prior is of type p0 pi0 + p1 pi1, a mixture of two Beta distributions. Finally give me your distribution for the number of children Odin had (as we know, he had six boys), (1) where you take the boy probability p known and equal to 0.514, (2) where you more passively argue that the ways of the Gods might differ from those of the humans, taking p a uniform.

Otherwise we use the time in "repetition modus", recalling and discussing material from the earlier chapters.