new version of Nils Collection, as of 19-iii-2018

New version 0.61, as of 19-iii-2018, now 35 pages, uploaded to the website, and with more to come. It might be a total of 45 pages by the end of Apri.

Tue 20 March: we finish off the Roman Era Egypt story, and continue with Bayesian Kriging and Bayesian Regression. We'll soon analyse the Bj?rnholt skiing days time series data, from 1897 to 2012, and where there's a gap from 1938 to 1954. The task will be (a) to interpolate, for the missing data window, with a Gaussian process prior, complete with a 90% pointwise credibility band, and (b) to extrapolate, for the years 2013 to 2028, again with a prediction curve and with a 90% credibility band.

We'll also attempt to set up dates for the Exam Project, in June, plus some extra practicalities for the exam.