for Tue Sep 21: we're reading Holland (1986) and Aas Jullum L?land (2021)

Thanks to Ingrid D and Fabian F for entertaining presentations of Mikosch (2006, with discussion) and Hastings (1970), Tue Sep 14. We had time for various pendants and tangents and reflections and predictions.

For Tue Sep 21, Haris F presents Holland (1986), on causality, and Lars O presents the recent Aas, Jullum, L?land (2021), on Shapley values.

We might use five minutes, before Haris and Lars, to have additional comments and questions regarding the previous presentations and questions raised there. Again, I recommend the MCMC exercise I came up with: find 4 x 4 magic squares, with numbers 1 to 16, such that each row, each column, both diagonals, have sum 34 -- by setting up a probability model and letting MCMC give you 4 x 4 squares from that distribution, via Metropolis or Metropollis-Hastings.

I've uploaded more papers on the Readling List, and will also post an updated gamplan2.pdf, with further comments. Check also our "hjelpetr?d C", by direct mail.