Readings
Gigerenzer, G. (2008). Rationality for mortals: How people cope with uncertainty. Oxford University Press.
Kahneman, D. (2011). Thinking, fast and slow. Farrar Straus & Giroux.
Elster, J. (1986). Rational choice. New York University Press (Introduction only, no need to buy the book).
Chapman, G.B. (2005). Short-term cost for long-term benefit: Time preference and cancer control. Health Psychology, 24, S41-S48.
Berns, G.S., Laibson, D. & Loewenstein, G. (2007). Intertemporal choice -- toward an integrative framework. Trends in Cognitive Sciences, 11(11), 482-488.
Ainslie, G., & Haslam, N. (1992). Hyperbolic discounting. Choice over time, 57-92.
Gigerenzer, G., & Edwards, A. (2003). Simple tools for understanding risks: from innumeracy to insight. Bmj, 327(7417), 741-744.
Edwards, A. (2003). Communicating risks. Bmj, 327(7417), 691-692.
Paling, J. (2003). Strategies to help patients understand risks. Bmj, 327(7417), 745-748.
Palmer S, Smith PS. Incorporating option values into the economic evaluation of health care technologies. J Health Econ, 2000; 19 (5): 755-766.
Gigerenzer, G., & Gaissmaier, W. (2011). Heuristic decision making. Annual review of psychology, 62, 451-482.
Dawson, N. V., & Arkes, H. R. (1987). Systematic errors in medical decision making. Journal of General Internal Medicine, 2(3), 183-187.
Goodman, S. N. (1999). Toward evidence-based medical statistics. 1: The P value fallacy. Annals of internal medicine, 130(12), 995-1004.
Katherine L. Milkman, Dolly Chugh and Max H. Bazerman (2009). How can decision making be improved? Perspectives on Psychological Science, 4, 379-383.
Atul Gawande, Medical Dispatch, “No Mistake,” The New Yorker, March 30, 1998, p. 74
Gawande, A. (2007). The checklist. The New Yorker
Chapman, G.B., Li, M., Colby, H., & Yoon, H. (2010). Opting in versus opting out of influenza vaccination. JAMA, 304(1), 43-44.